Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.143466 0.153828 0.164684 0.176927 0.190376 0.204730 0.221246
2025-08-24 0.121613 0.136683 0.153470 0.173666 0.197447 0.224736 0.258674
2025-08-31 0.106868 0.124396 0.144848 0.170715 0.202903 0.242099 0.294162
2025-09-07 0.098134 0.117520 0.141016 0.172002 0.212422 0.264269 0.337343
2025-09-14 0.088814 0.108709 0.133538 0.167381 0.213233 0.274609 0.365526
2025-09-21 0.080460 0.100231 0.125504 0.160897 0.210389 0.279079 0.385315
2025-09-28 0.074497 0.094292 0.120148 0.157273 0.210738 0.287526 0.411324
2025-10-05 0.071927 0.092575 0.120171 0.160866 0.221374 0.311613 0.464042
2025-10-12 0.069273 0.090498 0.119456 0.163203 0.230188 0.333656 0.516363
2025-10-19 0.065984 0.087294 0.116877 0.162506 0.234170 0.348336 0.558099
2025-10-26 0.063153 0.084537 0.114714 0.162178 0.238561 0.363941 0.603505
2025-11-02 0.060192 0.081409 0.111782 0.160396 0.240351 0.375201 0.642325
2025-11-09 0.056669 0.077348 0.107335 0.156085 0.237860 0.379248 0.668868
2025-11-16 0.053765 0.074070 0.103901 0.153182 0.237553 0.387266 0.705050
2025-11-23 0.051187 0.071143 0.100830 0.150632 0.237597 0.395881 0.743942
2025-11-30 0.049685 0.069749 0.100023 0.151713 0.244059 0.417201 0.814269
2025-12-07 0.047161 0.066668 0.096394 0.147780 0.241078 0.419763 0.842244
2025-12-14 0.044468 0.063211 0.091998 0.142256 0.234705 0.414849 0.851615
2025-12-21 0.042479 0.060767 0.089110 0.139165 0.232641 0.418502 0.882716
2025-12-28 0.041893 0.060497 0.089722 0.142230 0.242556 0.448300 0.986481
2026-01-04 0.041122 0.059893 0.089744 0.144222 0.250534 0.474932 1.088279
2026-01-11 0.039904 0.058513 0.088397 0.143627 0.253262 0.490189 1.161875
2026-01-18 0.038814 0.057297 0.087265 0.143348 0.256591 0.507213 1.244872